looks like in 2 weeks from now. They decided to update it only when the rating drops down. It started from 1537 initially

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee currently holds $1,456.09 on 1500+ with outcome No. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

Why do so many of you think it will be lower gemini-3.6-flash-high or glm-5.3-max ? It is highly unlikely for a top-tier model.

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

My name is Maxi Jazz and I make no apology/ For linking my thinking with computer technology

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

Astra is fighting for the first place, so LMArena is waiting for it to claim #1 spot decisively.

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

I did and sold thank you, my funds are now locked elsewhere. Another millenium prize solved. While you masturbate in your csuite I gamble and enjoy cocaine

on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

are you crazy?Since you had insider information, why did you buy so few shares? You're just fooling yourself.

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

Don't worry, LLM Arena will get Astra v2.0, and you will get your promised lessons from @MrBauer

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

Astra scored so bad OpenAI doesn’t even wanna give Arena permission to post the score because it’ll contradict the rest of their hypecycle news 💀💀 idk how I was supposed to price for that outcome

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

So... fun fact. I was watching the stream event and someone leaked for 30secs the store and I saw the price before announced. Easiest $$ in less than 3 min

on Foldable iPhone Announced Price? — $1,800+

As I said ure full of shit, the contract is still on, you looked it up and now realize ur 1.2k no is wasted money. Good job baby thanks for the free money talk to u in 1month when its 50%

on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

student price is 1999,regular price(which is what the market is based on) is 2099, sorry unfinished july but your money is gone.

on Foldable iPhone Announced Price? — $1,800+

iutwpfal is up 10.95% on their $1,796.62 bet on 1490+ with outcome No. Current value: $1,993.30. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

@ChefSlick Because 75% is way too high for October. This is an independent assessment site that scooped and analyzed all the available rumors online and they conclude that the model is still training and that : "Gemini 4 should launch in November or December.”. 9to5google com/2026/07/26/google-gemini-4-teases/

on Gemini 4.0 released by...? — November 30

They are edging us with this hard. Last time, they've announced the date 5 days before, and there is still time to roll out to the pad and such, but it's getting tight. And what's worse is that they seem to be ready to go, with FTS installed and everything. If it's a regulatory approval they are waiting for, I'm surprised Musk is not publicly moaning about it already.

on SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 — October 31

can polymarket make the fucking rules specific for once does pre order count or no

on Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...? — December 31

100% going to resolve to YES; when they IPO they don't want to share with Microsoft do they, read the contracts.

on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Our company switched from Claude to Grok for coding support. Yes Claude is better, but marginally. Grok is surprisingly good.

on Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Anthropic

You guys know right if they don't announce the price before 30th it will be resolved as No

on Foldable iPhone Announced Price? — $1,800+

Where did you get this information? If it's true, I think the current prices of 1490+ and 1500+ are very cheap.

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

To be honest, I'm curious why your quantitative trading accounts need to comment. Or is the commenting automated, used to increase liquidity and force positions to close out?

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

No worrier Singleton, I will teach you analytics and critical thinking once this market is done :)

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

MrBauer you have the same name as my real life 4th grade teacher so I really hope that’s not you otherwise this is gonna be an insane aura loss

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

Most tech analysts forecast a Q4 November release because of the supply chain constraints. But I’m hopeful we can at least get them by October😄

on Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...? — December 31

Ya'll crazy pricing Astra like this. Astra is indeed impressive in coding and logical tasks. But its tone sucks. It's cold and surgical. It's literally what this particular leaderboard setting measures.

on OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut? — 1480+

lol now they just confirmed that it's not available to all users, for some plus and business users its officially unavailable

on OpenAI’s Astra released by…? — September 9

gpt 6 astra hits arena but only overtakes claude dominance near / past end of september (as rankings come in) Jalepeno chip early deployments will enable higher intelligence floor then anthropic. timing might be off but I think end of Oct = highest risk to reward. Dec / January more conservative.

on Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Anthropic

People are sleeping on xAI. Devs are already picking Grok over Opus 5 in Cursor, and now xAI has Cursor’s enterprise coding data + insane shipping speed. Grok Bot was a glimpse. I’d bet they eventually have the best model. Elon acts with speed, could be September

on Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Anthropic

6F456F7474666A7479 currently holds $15,511.37 on September 30 with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

on OpenAI’s Astra released by…? — October 31

the issue on plimartket is that when theres a bit of confusion in the results its the one that pays more that wins and thats kinda sad

on OpenAI’s Astra released by…? — October 31