My estimated count:
Republicans: 51-52 yes (Hawley no; Moran a coin flip leaning no-then-yes based on precedent)
Democrats: 11 Democrats, including Ossoff is close to a lock if the GENIUS pattern holds; 7 Democrats is the genuine swing bloc — getting just 2-3 of these seven on the cloture vote specifically would be enough to clear 60 even without full Tier 1 turnout.
There's is a media narrative that is trying to portray all democrats being against crypto while that is definitely not the case based on precedent (specifically passing of the GENIUS Act. Not to mention how many of the Democrats that are lobbied by Crypto companies and funded now ahead of their reelection.
15% is just good value.
on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
